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Bitcoin faces ‘uphill battle’ despite BTC price gaining 35% from $23.8K bottom


Bitcoin (BTC) put in fresh gains overnight into May 31 as the monthly close looked set to seal losses of around 15%.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Asks stack up above $33,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD consolidating once more after a fresh burst took it to $32,200 on Bitstamp.

The pair thus capped the second day of more bullish momentum, this nonetheless failing to impress analysts, who widely believed that the moves were untrustworthy.

Those misgivings continued on the day amid discussions over whether the latest gains amounted to a “dead cat bounce.”

“BTC is poised for a bigger move. Before you ape in, remember how crypto likes to squeeze shorts and trap longs,” on-chain analytics resource Material Indicators wrote in one of several tweets over the past 24 hours:

“You can mitigate risk by waiting to confirm breakout or fakeout. FireCharts shows where liquidity rests in the order book. Monthly close Tues.”

Order book data from major exchange Binance, meanwhile, showed a solid $61 million sell-wall appearing at $33,500 at the time of writing.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators

Popular Twitter account Il Capo of Crypto further continued a bearish stance while admitting that the bounce had run contrary to previous forecasts.

Fellow account Venturefounder added that BTC/USD would need to reclaim its 200-day moving average near $43,000 to “resume a new bull market,” calling such a target an “uphill battle.”

Whales bide their time

Amid unimpressive volumes accompanying the bounce, meanwhile, additional concerns focused on whales.

Related: ‘Mega bullish signal’ or ‘real breakdown?’ 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

As noted by Caue Oliveira, analyst at Brazilian analytics outfit BlockTrends, Bitcoin’s largest entities have yet to show faith in recent lows being a macro floor. 

“Whales/institutions not yet deployed all their firepower on the market!” he summarized in a Twitter thread:

“These large entities continue to reduce activity, exposing their caution with the global scenario. A close look at their moves can provide the true signal of a real reversal.”

An accompanying chart showed a steep drop-off in whale movements in May.

Bitcoin whale wallet activity chart. Source: Caue Oliveira/ Twitter

Continuing, Oliveira said that activity from institutional platform Coinbase Pro likewise suggested that most investors were waiting on the sidelines.

“At the moment, I don’t see any evidence of a real ‘buy the dip’ by these participants,” he added.

Whale-focused monitoring resource Whalemap further contended that without a piercing of the 200-week moving average, Bitcoin had not yet put in a true macro bottom.

That moving average was at around $22,200 as of May 31.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.